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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.7 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole Sapporo 4–0 Gamba Osaka | 3.53–0.45 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Consadole Sapporo |
| Albirex Niigata 1–1 Urawa | 0.96–1.34 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama FC | 0.63–2.05 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Yokohama FC had 71% |
| Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Yokohama F. Marinos | 2.18–0.50 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Shonan Bellmare 2–2 Kashima | 0.80–1.85 | 16% · 22% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Kashima had 62% |
| Cerezo Osaka 3–0 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.87–1.57 | 45% · 22% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Sagan Tosu 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.40–1.37 | 11% · 28% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| FC Tokyo 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.96–1.54 | 24% · 26% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Avispa Fukuoka |
| Vissel Kobe 2–1 Kyoto Sanga | 1.11–0.57 | 49% · 32% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.