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9 of 9 matches with xG: 13 goals from 27.8 xG (0.47 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 FC Tokyo | 2.12–0.83 | 67% · 19% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu | 1.29–2.18 | 22% · 20% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Sagan Tosu had 58% |
| Urawa 0–0 Kyoto Sanga | 2.56–0.25 | 87% · 11% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Urawa had 87% |
| Kashima 1–0 Cerezo Osaka | 1.10–1.92 | 21% · 22% · 56% | Won against the xG: Kashima |
| Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Shonan Bellmare | 2.91–1.69 | 63% · 17% · 21% | Won against the xG: Shonan Bellmare |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Vissel Kobe | 1.47–0.21 | 70% · 25% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus | 0.86–0.37 | 46% · 39% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Avispa Fukuoka |
| Yokohama FC 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol | 1.77–2.89 | 22% · 17% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Gamba Osaka 1–1 Albirex Niigata | 2.42–0.91 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Gamba Osaka had 71% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.