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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.8 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata 3–1 Yokohama FC | 1.03–1.25 | 30% · 28% · 41% | Close call, Albirex Niigata won |
| FC Tokyo 3–2 Sagan Tosu | 3.84–2.22 | 67% · 14% · 19% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Consadole Sapporo | 0.35–1.23 | 11% · 30% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Consadole Sapporo had 59% |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Avispa Fukuoka | 1.08–0.65 | 46% · 33% · 22% | Won against the xG: Avispa Fukuoka |
| Kyoto Sanga 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.88–1.79 | 18% · 23% · 59% | Won against the xG: Kyoto Sanga |
| Vissel Kobe 1–0 Cerezo Osaka | 1.64–0.17 | 75% · 21% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Kashima 1–2 Yokohama F. Marinos | 2.06–1.60 | 49% · 21% · 30% | Close call, Yokohama F. Marinos won |
| Shonan Bellmare 0–2 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.29–1.40 | 35% · 26% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Gamba Osaka 1–3 Urawa | 1.34–0.99 | 45% · 28% · 28% | Won against the xG: Urawa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.