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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 26.8 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Urawa | 3.54–1.53 | 75% · 13% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Kashima | 0.31–1.00 | 11% · 36% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Jubilo Iwata 0–2 Vissel Kobe | 0.30–1.23 | 9% · 30% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Consadole Sapporo | 0.94–0.46 | 46% · 37% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sagan Tosu 1–2 Albirex Niigata | 1.94–2.67 | 28% · 18% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Albirex Niigata |
| Machida Zelvia 1–1 Gamba Osaka | 2.60–1.95 | 52% · 19% · 29% | Draw against the xG: Machida Zelvia had 52% |
| Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale | 0.30–0.79 | 13% · 42% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Cerezo Osaka 2–2 FC Tokyo | 1.52–1.00 | 49% · 26% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kyoto Sanga | 1.47–1.20 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Tokyo Verdy 1–2 Yokohama F. Marinos | 0.95–1.05 | 32% · 31% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.