Loading the map…
9 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 18.8 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consadole Sapporo 0–3 Kashima | 0.80–1.93 | 15% · 21% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Jubilo Iwata 3–2 Shonan Bellmare | 1.00–1.34 | 28% · 28% · 45% | Won against the xG: Jubilo Iwata |
| Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 0.67–2.11 | 11% · 19% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Kashiwa Reysol had 71% |
| Albirex Niigata 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.56–0.73 | 25% · 40% · 35% | Close call, Avispa Fukuoka won |
| Vissel Kobe 0–1 Tokyo Verdy | 0.80–0.34 | 44% · 41% · 15% | Won against the xG: Tokyo Verdy |
| FC Tokyo 0–1 Gamba Osaka | 0.57–0.80 | 24% · 38% · 38% | Close call, Gamba Osaka won |
| Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kyoto Sanga | 1.74–0.87 | 58% · 23% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Nagoya Grampus had 58% |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.69–1.22 | 21% · 30% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Urawa 1–2 Machida Zelvia | 0.74–1.88 | 14% · 22% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.