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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 22.4 xG (0.76 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima 0–0 Gamba Osaka | 1.11–0.45 | 52% · 33% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Kashima had 52% |
| FC Tokyo 1–0 Consadole Sapporo | 1.73–0.28 | 74% · 21% · 5% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Shonan Bellmare | 2.27–0.39 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Kawasaki Frontale had 80% |
| Jubilo Iwata 3–0 Tokyo Verdy | 1.63–0.99 | 52% · 25% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Jubilo Iwata |
| Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Urawa | 0.28–1.86 | 5% · 19% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
| Kyoto Sanga 2–2 Kashiwa Reysol | 0.44–1.82 | 8% · 21% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Kashiwa Reysol had 71% |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu | 1.30–1.24 | 38% · 27% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Vissel Kobe 0–0 Machida Zelvia | 0.69–0.54 | 34% · 41% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Albirex Niigata | 2.26–0.70 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 73% |
| Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Yokohama F. Marinos | 0.83–1.61 | 19% · 25% · 56% | Won against the xG: Avispa Fukuoka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.