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4 of 10 matches with xG: 14 goals from 10.4 xG (1.35 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos 1–3 Machida Zelvia | 0.32–1.20 | 10% · 31% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–1 Tokyo Verdy | 2.86–1.07 | 74% · 14% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Kyoto Sanga 2–0 Consadole Sapporo | 1.77–2.06 | 34% · 21% · 45% | Close call, Kyoto Sanga won |
| Cerezo Osaka 2–1 Urawa | 0.56–0.52 | 29% · 45% · 26% | Close call, Cerezo Osaka won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.