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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 24.3 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Gamba Osaka | 1.96–1.51 | 48% · 22% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vissel Kobe 0–2 FC Tokyo | 1.15–0.81 | 44% · 31% · 26% | Won against the xG: FC Tokyo |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 0–0 Albirex Niigata | 0.32–0.98 | 12% · 36% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Albirex Niigata had 52% |
| Kashima 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.58–0.36 | 34% · 48% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Machida Zelvia | 0.88–2.04 | 15% · 20% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Machida Zelvia had 64% |
| Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Consadole Sapporo | 1.53–1.48 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Close call, Consadole Sapporo won |
| Kyoto Sanga 2–0 Sagan Tosu | 1.00–0.51 | 47% · 35% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.58–1.50 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Shonan Bellmare |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–2 Jubilo Iwata | 2.18–2.36 | 37% · 19% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Jubilo Iwata |
| Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Urawa | 0.85–0.70 | 36% · 36% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Tokyo Verdy |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.