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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 28.0 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus | 0.52–1.70 | 11% · 23% · 66% | Won against the xG: Avispa Fukuoka |
| Albirex Niigata 0–4 Kashima | 0.37–1.42 | 9% · 27% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| FC Tokyo 1–1 Sagan Tosu | 0.99–1.86 | 20% · 22% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Sagan Tosu had 58% |
| Machida Zelvia 1–4 Kawasaki Frontale | 0.64–4.07 | 2% · 5% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Urawa 0–1 Cerezo Osaka | 0.68–1.04 | 24% · 33% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.16–0.80 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Gamba Osaka 2–1 Consadole Sapporo | 2.96–0.38 | 89% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Gamba Osaka |
| Kyoto Sanga 2–3 Vissel Kobe | 0.81–1.68 | 18% · 24% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Shonan Bellmare | 1.22–1.40 | 33% · 26% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Shonan Bellmare |
| Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.41–2.88 | 16% · 16% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.