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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 27.1 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Albirex Niigata | 3.22–1.89 | 64% · 16% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Consadole Sapporo 2–0 Kyoto Sanga | 1.51–1.10 | 47% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Consadole Sapporo |
| Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Jubilo Iwata | 2.36–1.01 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 1–3 FC Tokyo | 1.06–3.57 | 7% · 10% · 83% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Gamba Osaka 1–1 Tokyo Verdy | 0.70–0.98 | 25% · 34% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cerezo Osaka 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol | 0.74–0.32 | 42% · 43% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shonan Bellmare 3–2 Kashima | 1.52–1.55 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Close call, Shonan Bellmare won |
| Vissel Kobe 1–0 Urawa | 1.44–1.20 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Machida Zelvia | 1.37–0.55 | 57% · 28% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Sagan Tosu 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.49–0.48 | 27% · 47% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.