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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kashima 0–0 Nagoya Grampus | 0.74–0.54 | 36% · 40% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Machida Zelvia 3–0 FC Tokyo | 2.19–0.48 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Consadole Sapporo | 0.97–1.20 | 30% · 29% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale | 2.73–0.93 | 75% · 15% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Kyoto Sanga had 75% |
| Sagan Tosu 1–2 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.31–1.69 | 30% · 24% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Albirex Niigata | 0.81–0.51 | 40% · 39% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Jubilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka | 1.06–1.47 | 27% · 26% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Gamba Osaka |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka | 1.60–0.74 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Vissel Kobe | 0.61–0.64 | 29% · 41% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Urawa 3–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.24–4.10 | 6% · 8% · 85% | Won against the xG: Urawa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.