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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 36.1 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Vissel Kobe | 1.36–2.82 | 16% · 16% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Vissel Kobe had 68% |
| Tokyo Verdy 4–5 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.69–2.25 | 29% · 20% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Machida Zelvia 1–0 Kyoto Sanga | 1.83–1.15 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Shonan Bellmare 2–3 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.50–4.12 | 9% · 10% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Albirex Niigata 0–1 Gamba Osaka | 1.48–0.85 | 52% · 26% · 22% | Won against the xG: Gamba Osaka |
| Jubilo Iwata 2–1 FC Tokyo | 1.82–1.67 | 42% · 22% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Jubilo Iwata |
| Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Sagan Tosu | 2.30–1.01 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Won against the xG: Sagan Tosu |
| Cerezo Osaka 0–2 Kashima | 2.05–1.57 | 49% · 21% · 30% | Won against the xG: Kashima |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Urawa | 1.28–1.18 | 39% · 27% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Avispa Fukuoka |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–1 Consadole Sapporo | 3.45–0.68 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.