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10 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.4 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamba Osaka 2–5 Cerezo Osaka | 1.41–1.50 | 36% · 25% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Albirex Niigata | 1.02–2.25 | 16% · 19% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Albirex Niigata had 65% |
| Yokohama FC 0–1 FC Tokyo | 0.67–0.62 | 31% · 40% · 28% | Close call, FC Tokyo won |
| Vissel Kobe 0–0 Urawa | 1.07–0.83 | 41% · 31% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fagiano Okayama 2–0 Kyoto Sanga | 0.96–1.35 | 27% · 28% · 46% | Won against the xG: Fagiano Okayama |
| Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol | 0.31–1.45 | 8% · 26% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Nagoya Grampus | 2.75–0.43 | 86% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Kashima | 1.54–0.50 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Shonan Bellmare |
| Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Shimizu S-pulse | 0.52–0.77 | 22% · 40% · 38% | Close call, Shimizu S-pulse won |
| Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.69–1.73 | 14% · 23% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.