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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 26.9 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 2.79–1.52 | 64% · 17% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tokyo | 2.40–1.04 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Won against the xG: FC Tokyo |
| Shimizu S-pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus | 0.74–1.26 | 22% · 29% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus |
| Kashima 1–0 Machida Zelvia | 0.70–0.67 | 32% · 39% · 30% | Close call, Kashima won |
| Urawa 2–0 Tokyo Verdy | 0.39–0.36 | 24% · 54% · 22% | Close call, Urawa won |
| Gamba Osaka 4–0 Shonan Bellmare | 2.61–1.51 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Gamba Osaka |
| Vissel Kobe 2–0 Fagiano Okayama | 1.87–0.33 | 75% · 19% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Kyoto Sanga 2–3 Cerezo Osaka | 3.11–0.60 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Won against the xG: Cerezo Osaka |
| Kawasaki Frontale 2–1 Yokohama FC | 1.19–1.40 | 32% · 26% · 42% | Close call, Kawasaki Frontale won |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 0–2 Kashiwa Reysol | 0.71–1.72 | 15% · 23% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.