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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 26.6 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama FC 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka | 1.10–0.24 | 58% · 34% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama FC |
| FC Tokyo 1–0 Vissel Kobe | 2.96–0.60 | 85% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for FC Tokyo |
| Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Fagiano Okayama | 2.70–0.34 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Kashima 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale | 0.99–1.35 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Won against the xG: Kashima |
| Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Machida Zelvia | 1.73–1.21 | 50% · 24% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Nagoya Grampus | 0.68–2.15 | 10% · 18% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Nagoya Grampus had 71% |
| Albirex Niigata 1–1 Urawa | 1.58–1.01 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Albirex Niigata had 51% |
| Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Shonan Bellmare | 0.91–1.35 | 25% · 28% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Shonan Bellmare |
| Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.20–2.29 | 19% · 19% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.52–0.66 | 58% · 26% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.