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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 24.8 xG (1.37 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia 2–1 Kashima | 1.02–1.61 | 24% · 25% · 51% | Won against the xG: Machida Zelvia |
| Avispa Fukuoka 3–2 Albirex Niigata | 0.50–0.53 | 26% · 46% · 28% | Close call, Avispa Fukuoka won |
| Cerezo Osaka 2–1 Tokyo Verdy | 1.02–0.77 | 41% · 33% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Kashiwa Reysol 3–3 Kyoto Sanga | 1.73–1.21 | 50% · 24% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Vissel Kobe | 1.00–0.75 | 40% · 33% · 27% | Close call, Vissel Kobe won |
| Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 Fagiano Okayama | 2.16–1.35 | 56% · 21% · 24% | Won against the xG: Fagiano Okayama |
| Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse | 0.84–0.43 | 43% · 39% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
| Yokohama FC 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.86–1.92 | 58% · 17% · 25% | Won against the xG: Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| Gamba Osaka 2–0 FC Tokyo | 1.45–1.10 | 45% · 26% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Gamba Osaka |
| Urawa 4–1 Shonan Bellmare | 1.51–1.01 | 49% · 26% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.