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10 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 25.0 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa 2–1 Kyoto Sanga | 1.40–0.35 | 64% · 27% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
| Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Machida Zelvia | 1.16–2.12 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia |
| Kashima 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.11–0.67 | 46% · 32% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Yokohama FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale | 0.90–0.35 | 48% · 38% · 14% | Won against the xG: Kawasaki Frontale |
| FC Tokyo 2–2 Cerezo Osaka | 2.93–1.49 | 67% · 16% · 17% | Draw against the xG: FC Tokyo had 67% |
| Albirex Niigata 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos | 2.10–0.78 | 68% · 19% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Albirex Niigata |
| Tokyo Verdy 0–3 Kashiwa Reysol | 0.75–1.73 | 16% · 23% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol |
| Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus | 1.60–0.69 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Fagiano Okayama 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka | 0.20–1.94 | 3% · 17% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Avispa Fukuoka |
| Shimizu S-pulse 0–0 Gamba Osaka | 1.17–1.54 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.