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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 22.8 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia 0–3 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.83–0.42 | 72% · 20% · 8% | Won against the xG: Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Albirex Niigata | 1.60–0.56 | 63% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Nagoya Grampus |
| Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Tokyo Verdy | 0.46–0.35 | 28% · 52% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Vissel Kobe | 0.28–1.06 | 10% · 35% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Vissel Kobe |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.59–2.01 | 31% · 21% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Gamba Osaka 0–1 Kashima | 0.95–0.56 | 44% · 36% · 21% | Won against the xG: Kashima |
| Kyoto Sanga 3–0 FC Tokyo | 1.51–0.78 | 55% · 26% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga |
| Shonan Bellmare 1–1 Fagiano Okayama | 0.86–1.02 | 30% · 32% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Cerezo Osaka 4–2 Shimizu S-pulse | 2.94–1.05 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka |
| Urawa 2–1 Yokohama FC | 2.40–0.58 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Urawa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.