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J1 League 2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 25

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Matches

Matchday 25 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos0.63–0.8625% · 37% · 38%Close call, Tokyo Verdy won
Yokohama FC 1–2 Urawa0.62–3.214% · 9% · 87%Win in line with xG for Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale 2–5 Avispa Fukuoka0.24–1.735% · 20% · 75%Win in line with xG for Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Shimizu S-pulse1.84–0.8760% · 22% · 17%Draw against the xG: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 60%
Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Shonan Bellmare2.42–0.4581% · 14% · 5%Win in line with xG for Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo 0–1 Kashima1.62–0.8855% · 25% · 20%Won against the xG: Kashima
Machida Zelvia 2–0 Vissel Kobe1.38–0.4162% · 28% · 11%Win in line with xG for Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Kyoto Sanga1.30–1.6131% · 24% · 45%Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka 0–3 Fagiano Okayama2.14–0.5973% · 18% · 9%Won against the xG: Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka 3–1 Albirex Niigata1.86–0.5270% · 21% · 10%Win in line with xG for Cerezo Osaka

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 24 · Matchday 26

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