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J1 League 2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 26

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Matches

Matchday 26 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.7 xG (0.97 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Kashima 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka0.93–1.8219% · 23% · 58%Draw against the xG: Avispa Fukuoka had 58%
Shimizu S-pulse 1–3 Yokohama F. Marinos1.13–2.6014% · 17% · 69%Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa 2–1 Nagoya Grampus1.05–1.5126% · 26% · 48%Won against the xG: Urawa
Machida Zelvia 3–0 Cerezo Osaka0.74–0.9028% · 35% · 37%Close call, Machida Zelvia won
Shonan Bellmare 2–2 FC Tokyo1.71–1.7937% · 22% · 41%Draw in line with xG
Albirex Niigata 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale1.42–1.1144% · 26% · 29%Draw in line with xG
Kyoto Sanga 1–0 Tokyo Verdy0.99–0.7740% · 33% · 27%Win in line with xG for Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe 0–1 Yokohama FC1.00–0.3851% · 36% · 14%Won against the xG: Yokohama FC
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Gamba Osaka1.72–0.0581% · 19% · 1%Win in line with xG for Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Fagiano Okayama 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol2.21–0.8868% · 19% · 14%Win in line with xG for Fagiano Okayama

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 25 · Matchday 27

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