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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 21.6 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Urawa | 1.43–0.83 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Cerezo Osaka had 51% |
| Shimizu S-pulse 3–0 Shonan Bellmare | 1.47–0.49 | 62% · 26% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Shimizu S-pulse |
| Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.31–0.96 | 45% · 28% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Fagiano Okayama |
| Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Tokyo Verdy | 0.38–0.87 | 15% · 39% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Albirex Niigata 3–3 Gamba Osaka | 1.12–2.11 | 19% · 21% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Gamba Osaka had 60% |
| Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Yokohama FC | 1.01–2.01 | 18% · 21% · 61% | Won against the xG: Nagoya Grampus |
| Kyoto Sanga 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0.50–1.19 | 16% · 31% · 53% | Won against the xG: Kyoto Sanga |
| Kashima 1–0 Vissel Kobe | 1.18–0.33 | 58% · 32% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Kashima |
| Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Machida Zelvia | 1.07–1.45 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Tokyo 0–3 Kawasaki Frontale | 0.34–1.55 | 8% · 24% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.