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4 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 14.6 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano Okayama 2–3 Cerezo Osaka | 2.63–2.29 | 47% · 18% · 35% | Close call, Cerezo Osaka won |
| Mito Hollyhock 1–3 Kawasaki Frontale | 1.00–1.61 | 24% · 25% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Kawasaki Frontale |
| Tokyo Verdy 0–6 Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.54–3.05 | 17% · 15% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Yokohama F. Marinos |
| Shimizu S-pulse 1–2 Gamba Osaka | 1.61–0.87 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Won against the xG: Gamba Osaka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.