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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.7 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul 2–1 Puebla | 1.38–0.90 | 48% · 27% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Cruz Azul |
| Toluca 1–2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.21–0.66 | 49% · 30% · 20% | Won against the xG: U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
| Club Tijuana 1–0 Leon | 1.93–0.88 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Club Tijuana |
| Atlante FC 1–1 Club America | 0.74–1.56 | 18% · 25% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Club America had 57% |
| Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 FC Juarez | 1.90–0.49 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Guadalajara Chivas |
| Tigres UANL 2–2 Atletico San Luis | 1.34–0.50 | 58% · 28% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Tigres UANL had 58% |
| Santos Laguna 0–1 Atlas | 0.83–1.12 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Atlas |
| Necaxa 2–1 Monterrey | 2.92–1.03 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Necaxa |
| CF Pachuca 1–2 Club Queretaro | 1.27–2.06 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Club Queretaro |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.