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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.8 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas | 0.69–1.97 | 12% · 20% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Guadalajara Chivas had 68% |
| Atletico San Luis 0–0 Club Tijuana | 0.47–0.29 | 30% · 53% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Juarez 1–5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 0.40–2.70 | 4% · 11% · 86% | Win in line with xG for U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
| Club Queretaro 3–2 Tigres UANL | 2.02–2.59 | 31% · 19% · 51% | Close call, Club Queretaro won |
| Leon 1–0 CF Pachuca | 0.88–0.84 | 34% · 34% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Leon |
| Atlas 0–2 Monterrey | 0.43–1.82 | 8% · 21% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Monterrey |
| Cruz Azul 2–3 Atlante FC | 2.86–1.89 | 58% · 17% · 25% | Won against the xG: Atlante FC |
| Club America 3–0 Santos Laguna | 1.90–2.25 | 33% · 20% · 47% | Close call, Club America won |
| Toluca 3–1 Necaxa | 1.51–1.32 | 42% · 25% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Toluca |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.