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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.0 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlante FC 0–0 Toluca | 0.88–0.86 | 34% · 34% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Monterrey 6–1 FC Juarez | 2.49–0.33 | 85% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Monterrey |
| Atlas 2–1 Tigres UANL | 0.66–2.70 | 7% · 13% · 80% | Won against the xG: Atlas |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0–0 Club Queretaro | 0.66–0.68 | 30% · 39% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Club America 3–0 Atletico San Luis | 1.97–0.69 | 68% · 20% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Club America |
| Santos Laguna 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas | 0.71–1.58 | 17% · 25% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Guadalajara Chivas |
| Club Tijuana 2–1 Cruz Azul | 1.81–1.30 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Club Tijuana |
| Necaxa 1–2 Leon | 1.19–0.97 | 41% · 29% · 30% | Close call, Leon won |
| CF Pachuca 2–3 Puebla | 2.25–2.27 | 40% · 19% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Puebla |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.