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8 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.5 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leon 2–0 Monterrey | 1.71–1.31 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Leon |
| Tigres UANL 2–0 Atlante FC | 1.17–1.14 | 37% · 28% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Tigres UANL |
| FC Juarez 1–2 Club America | 1.38–1.88 | 28% · 22% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Club America |
| Club Queretaro 1–2 Toluca | 1.70–1.47 | 43% · 23% · 33% | Close call, Toluca won |
| Puebla 3–2 Santos Laguna | 1.02–0.37 | 52% · 35% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Puebla |
| Cruz Azul 0–2 Atlas | 1.21–1.79 | 26% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Atlas |
| Atletico San Luis 1–1 CF Pachuca | 2.71–0.99 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Atletico San Luis had 74% |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Necaxa | 1.20–1.46 | 31% · 26% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.