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5 of 10 matches with xG: 14 goals from 17.6 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch 1–2 De Graafschap | 1.80–1.89 | 37% · 22% · 41% | Win in line with xG for De Graafschap |
| FC OSS 0–3 Helmond Sport | 0.64–1.94 | 11% · 20% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Helmond Sport |
| VVV Venlo 1–2 Vitesse | 2.02–2.79 | 28% · 18% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Vitesse |
| Jong AZ 0–2 FC Eindhoven | 0.95–1.08 | 31% · 30% · 38% | Win in line with xG for FC Eindhoven |
| Jong PSV U21 2–1 Willem II | 3.17–1.30 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Jong PSV U21 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.