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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 35.4 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 4–0 MVV | 3.31–0.96 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| ADO Den Haag 4–0 Roda | 2.04–0.89 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Win in line with xG for ADO Den Haag |
| FC Eindhoven 1–3 Den Bosch | 1.19–0.74 | 47% · 30% · 23% | Won against the xG: Den Bosch |
| Jong Ajax 0–0 Dordrecht | 1.02–0.65 | 44% · 34% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Jong AZ 0–2 VVV Venlo | 0.74–1.93 | 14% · 21% · 66% | Win in line with xG for VVV Venlo |
| Jong Utrecht 1–2 Emmen | 1.49–1.80 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Emmen |
| Vitesse 0–4 Cambuur | 1.31–1.34 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Cambuur |
| Willem II 1–1 FC OSS | 3.32–1.33 | 76% · 13% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Willem II had 76% |
| Helmond Sport 2–3 Jong PSV U21 | 2.98–1.84 | 61% · 17% · 22% | Won against the xG: Jong PSV U21 |
| Waalwijk 1–4 De Graafschap | 3.81–2.69 | 59% · 15% · 26% | Won against the xG: De Graafschap |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.