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4 of 11 matches with xG: 6 goals from 13.0 xG (0.46 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur 1–0 FC OSS | 1.66–0.64 | 62% · 24% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Cambuur |
| Roda 1–0 De Graafschap | 1.36–1.29 | 39% · 26% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Roda |
| VVV Venlo 0–2 Jong PSV U21 | 2.85–2.57 | 46% · 17% · 37% | Close call, Jong PSV U21 won |
| Waalwijk 1–1 Helmond Sport | 0.81–1.79 | 17% · 23% · 61% | Draw against the xG: Helmond Sport had 61% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.