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5 of 10 matches with xG: 13 goals from 14.4 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap 4–0 Jong Ajax | 2.83–0.44 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for De Graafschap |
| Helmond Sport 2–0 Den Bosch | 1.64–1.10 | 50% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Helmond Sport |
| FC OSS 1–2 Vitesse | 2.03–0.78 | 67% · 20% · 13% | Won against the xG: Vitesse |
| Roda 0–3 ADO Den Haag | 0.81–1.21 | 25% · 30% · 45% | Win in line with xG for ADO Den Haag |
| VVV Venlo 1–0 FC Eindhoven | 2.41–1.12 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Win in line with xG for VVV Venlo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.