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9 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 33.1 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 1–2 Roda | 2.15–3.07 | 26% · 17% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Roda |
| Den Bosch 1–1 Emmen | 1.46–1.92 | 29% · 22% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| ADO Den Haag 1–4 Jong AZ | 3.15–1.55 | 69% · 15% · 16% | Won against the xG: Jong AZ |
| FC Eindhoven 5–0 MVV | 3.30–0.76 | 85% · 10% · 5% | Win in line with xG for FC Eindhoven |
| Vitesse 1–2 Dordrecht | 1.01–1.18 | 31% · 29% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Dordrecht |
| Waalwijk 2–0 FC OSS | 2.29–1.08 | 65% · 19% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
| Helmond Sport 0–0 De Graafschap | 0.63–1.80 | 12% · 22% · 66% | Draw against the xG: De Graafschap had 66% |
| Jong Ajax 2–1 Willem II | 1.48–1.70 | 34% · 23% · 43% | Close call, Jong Ajax won |
| Jong PSV U21 3–2 Cambuur | 1.87–2.68 | 27% · 18% · 55% | Won against the xG: Jong PSV U21 |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.