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8 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 26.3 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur 1–1 Waalwijk | 3.88–0.90 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Cambuur had 88% |
| De Graafschap 1–0 Jong Utrecht | 2.15–0.59 | 74% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for De Graafschap |
| Dordrecht 0–1 Jong Ajax | 0.93–1.14 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Jong Ajax |
| Emmen 2–3 Jong PSV U21 | 3.57–1.92 | 69% · 14% · 17% | Won against the xG: Jong PSV U21 |
| Helmond Sport 1–3 ADO Den Haag | 1.04–1.19 | 32% · 29% · 39% | Win in line with xG for ADO Den Haag |
| VVV Venlo 1–1 FC OSS | 2.23–0.39 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Draw against the xG: VVV Venlo had 80% |
| Willem II 3–0 Vitesse | 2.67–1.37 | 65% · 17% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Willem II |
| Jong AZ 2–2 Den Bosch | 1.53–0.83 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Jong AZ had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.