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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 35.7 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch 2–2 Roda | 1.12–1.38 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| ADO Den Haag 1–0 VVV Venlo | 2.78–0.01 | 94% · 6% · 0% | Win in line with xG for ADO Den Haag |
| Emmen 0–3 Willem II | 0.55–3.17 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Willem II |
| Jong Ajax 5–1 Helmond Sport | 2.92–1.26 | 71% · 15% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Jong Ajax |
| Jong PSV U21 1–1 Dordrecht | 2.17–1.70 | 49% · 21% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Jong Utrecht 2–3 Almere City FC | 3.33–2.33 | 58% · 16% · 26% | Won against the xG: Almere City FC |
| MVV 3–3 De Graafschap | 1.28–2.45 | 19% · 18% · 63% | Draw against the xG: De Graafschap had 63% |
| FC OSS 1–2 Cambuur | 1.06–1.40 | 28% · 27% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Cambuur |
| Vitesse 2–0 Jong AZ | 1.80–0.43 | 71% · 21% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Vitesse |
| Waalwijk 2–1 FC Eindhoven | 2.49–2.08 | 48% · 19% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.