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9 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 29.0 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht 0–0 NAC Breda | 0.36–1.65 | 8% · 23% · 70% | Draw against the xG: NAC Breda had 70% |
| FC Eindhoven 0–3 Jong Ajax | 0.61–3.00 | 5% · 10% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Jong Ajax |
| Helmond Sport 2–3 FC Volendam | 1.30–1.36 | 36% · 26% · 38% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
| Heracles 5–1 Roda | 2.49–1.41 | 61% · 18% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Jong AZ 1–3 Almere City FC | 1.00–2.18 | 16% · 20% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| FC OSS 1–1 Waalwijk | 1.54–1.46 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| VVV Venlo 1–1 Jong PSV U21 | 2.40–0.93 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Draw against the xG: VVV Venlo had 70% |
| Den Bosch 1–1 Jong Utrecht | 2.39–1.05 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Den Bosch had 67% |
| Emmen 0–2 MVV | 1.13–2.73 | 13% · 16% · 71% | Win in line with xG for MVV |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.