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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 31.1 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 1–4 NEC Nijmegen | 1.04–3.12 | 9% · 13% · 78% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| AZ Alkmaar 3–3 Utrecht | 0.65–2.75 | 6% · 13% · 81% | Draw against the xG: Utrecht had 81% |
| FC Volendam 1–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.37–2.79 | 17% · 16% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Feyenoord 4–0 Excelsior | 2.85–0.32 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Heracles 0–0 Fortuna Sittard | 0.48–0.50 | 26% · 47% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| PEC Zwolle 1–2 Twente | 1.14–2.62 | 14% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Waalwijk | 4.00–0.53 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Heerenveen | 1.03–0.93 | 37% · 31% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Vitesse 2–2 Ajax | 1.85–3.09 | 21% · 16% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Ajax had 63% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.