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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 21.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen 4–1 NAC Breda | 2.23–1.21 | 60% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Feyenoord 1–1 Willem II | 1.84–0.16 | 79% · 18% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 79% |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Twente | 0.92–2.44 | 12% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Almere City FC 0–1 AZ Alkmaar | 0.44–0.86 | 18% · 39% · 44% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Waalwijk | 3.28–1.30 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0–0 Heracles | 0.54–0.54 | 28% · 45% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Utrecht 1–0 PEC Zwolle | 1.03–0.38 | 52% · 35% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Go Ahead Eagles 0–2 Fortuna Sittard | 1.59–0.86 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Won against the xG: Fortuna Sittard |
| Ajax 1–0 Heerenveen | 1.42–0.43 | 62% · 27% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.