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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.0 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard 3–0 Almere City FC | 3.22–0.67 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Heerenveen 1–1 Utrecht | 2.65–1.06 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 71% |
| Twente 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 2.46–0.94 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 71% |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–0 NEC Nijmegen | 1.02–0.40 | 51% · 35% · 14% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Waalwijk 1–2 Groningen | 1.12–2.22 | 18% · 20% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Heracles 1–3 PSV Eindhoven | 1.20–2.44 | 17% · 18% · 65% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| PEC Zwolle 1–5 Feyenoord | 0.63–2.49 | 7% · 15% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Willem II 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.25–0.76 | 48% · 29% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Willem II |
| NAC Breda 2–1 Ajax | 1.06–1.38 | 29% · 27% · 44% | Won against the xG: NAC Breda |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.