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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.0 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen 1–0 PEC Zwolle | 1.97–0.54 | 71% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Almere City FC 1–7 PSV Eindhoven | 0.26–3.39 | 1% · 5% · 93% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| NAC Breda 1–2 Utrecht | 0.88–1.90 | 17% · 22% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Groningen 0–0 AZ Alkmaar | 0.10–0.96 | 4% · 38% · 58% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 58% |
| Heracles 1–1 Willem II | 1.05–0.74 | 42% · 32% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Feyenoord | 0.75–0.85 | 30% · 35% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 Waalwijk | 2.26–0.48 | 78% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Twente 2–0 Heerenveen | 3.03–0.70 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Ajax 5–0 Fortuna Sittard | 3.11–0.07 | 95% · 5% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.