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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 23.6 xG (1.40 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II 0–1 Twente | 0.62–1.90 | 11% · 21% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Heracles 2–0 NAC Breda | 1.36–0.97 | 46% · 27% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Ajax 3–2 PSV Eindhoven | 2.03–1.04 | 60% · 21% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Feyenoord 3–2 AZ Alkmaar | 2.20–1.54 | 53% · 20% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Fortuna Sittard 3–0 Heerenveen | 0.87–0.57 | 40% · 37% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 PEC Zwolle | 2.67–0.54 | 82% · 12% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Go Ahead Eagles had 82% |
| NEC Nijmegen 6–0 Groningen | 3.45–0.30 | 93% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–4 Utrecht | 1.39–1.05 | 45% · 27% · 28% | Won against the xG: Utrecht |
| Waalwijk 2–0 Almere City FC | 0.74–0.32 | 42% · 43% · 15% | Close call, Waalwijk won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.