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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 27.0 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht 1–0 Heracles | 2.73–0.87 | 76% · 14% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Groningen 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.51–0.68 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| PEC Zwolle 3–1 Fortuna Sittard | 2.25–2.97 | 29% · 17% · 54% | Won against the xG: PEC Zwolle |
| NAC Breda 0–3 PSV Eindhoven | 0.49–2.24 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Waalwijk 0–3 NEC Nijmegen | 0.61–1.51 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Almere City FC 1–4 Feyenoord | 0.76–1.72 | 16% · 23% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Twente 2–2 Ajax | 1.80–2.89 | 23% · 17% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Ajax had 60% |
| Heerenveen 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 0.17–0.95 | 7% · 38% · 55% | Won against the xG: Heerenveen |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Willem II | 2.01–0.82 | 65% · 20% · 14% | Won against the xG: Willem II |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.