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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 27.9 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 Almere City FC | 2.74–0.48 | 84% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Feyenoord 3–0 Heerenveen | 2.75–0.30 | 88% · 10% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Heracles 2–2 Waalwijk | 3.11–2.52 | 51% · 17% · 32% | Draw against the xG: Heracles had 51% |
| PSV Eindhoven 5–0 Groningen | 4.41–0.22 | 97% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Twente | 1.23–0.79 | 47% · 30% · 24% | Won against the xG: Twente |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Utrecht | 1.32–0.63 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Won against the xG: Utrecht |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 AZ Alkmaar | 1.01–0.14 | 59% · 36% · 5% | Won against the xG: AZ Alkmaar |
| Willem II 2–2 NAC Breda | 2.16–1.32 | 57% · 21% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Willem II had 57% |
| Ajax 2–0 PEC Zwolle | 1.46–1.28 | 41% · 25% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.