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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 24.8 xG (1.33 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven 6–1 Twente | 2.66–1.05 | 72% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Go Ahead Eagles 5–0 NEC Nijmegen | 2.04–0.66 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 NAC Breda | 1.53–1.64 | 36% · 24% · 41% | Win in line with xG for NAC Breda |
| Waalwijk 2–3 Feyenoord | 1.11–2.34 | 17% · 19% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Heracles 2–2 Fortuna Sittard | 1.43–0.68 | 55% · 27% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Heracles had 55% |
| Groningen 0–0 PEC Zwolle | 1.27–0.77 | 48% · 29% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Ajax | 1.96–0.28 | 78% · 17% · 4% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Willem II 1–2 Heerenveen | 0.75–1.81 | 15% · 22% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Almere City FC 1–3 Utrecht | 1.25–1.57 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.