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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.1 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk 1–2 Fortuna Sittard | 1.38–2.33 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Utrecht 1–0 NAC Breda | 2.31–0.50 | 78% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Go Ahead Eagles 3–2 PSV Eindhoven | 1.95–1.25 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Groningen 1–1 Twente | 1.15–1.40 | 31% · 26% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Feyenoord 0–0 NEC Nijmegen | 1.10–0.21 | 59% · 34% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 59% |
| Heerenveen 3–1 AZ Alkmaar | 1.92–1.14 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Almere City FC 0–1 Ajax | 0.67–0.67 | 30% · 39% · 30% | Close call, Ajax won |
| Heracles 4–2 PEC Zwolle | 2.91–0.74 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 Willem II | 2.20–0.28 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.