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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 24.7 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.00–0.83 | 38% · 32% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Utrecht | 3.38–1.63 | 71% · 14% · 15% | Draw against the xG: PSV Eindhoven had 71% |
| NAC Breda 0–0 Feyenoord | 2.03–1.77 | 45% · 21% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Willem II 1–3 Groningen | 1.07–1.82 | 22% · 23% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Almere City FC | 0.93–0.70 | 39% · 35% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Twente 2–0 Waalwijk | 1.63–0.91 | 54% · 25% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| PEC Zwolle 1–1 Heerenveen | 0.89–1.11 | 29% · 31% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ajax 4–0 Heracles | 2.62–0.48 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Fortuna Sittard | 1.44–0.49 | 61% · 27% · 13% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.