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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 22.5 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen 3–1 Willem II | 1.61–1.13 | 49% · 25% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| AZ Alkmaar 0–1 Feyenoord | 0.84–0.23 | 49% · 41% · 10% | Won against the xG: Feyenoord |
| Twente 1–1 Fortuna Sittard | 1.78–0.72 | 63% · 23% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 63% |
| Groningen 1–3 PSV Eindhoven | 0.70–1.49 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Almere City FC 2–2 PEC Zwolle | 3.17–1.29 | 74% · 14% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Almere City FC had 74% |
| Waalwijk 0–0 Heracles | 1.60–0.95 | 53% · 25% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Waalwijk had 53% |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 Utrecht | 1.86–1.14 | 54% · 23% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Go Ahead Eagles had 54% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 NEC Nijmegen | 0.59–0.71 | 26% · 40% · 34% | Close call, Sparta Rotterdam won |
| Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda | 1.99–0.66 | 69% · 20% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.