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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.9 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Waalwijk | 1.40–1.18 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Fortuna Sittard 0–2 Feyenoord | 0.30–1.75 | 6% · 21% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 Heerenveen | 2.90–1.42 | 68% · 16% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| PSV Eindhoven 5–0 Almere City FC | 4.96–0.74 | 95% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| NAC Breda 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.87–1.11 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Draw against the xG: NAC Breda had 55% |
| Utrecht 3–1 Groningen | 1.59–1.08 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Heracles 1–0 AZ Alkmaar | 1.42–0.57 | 58% · 27% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| PEC Zwolle 1–1 Twente | 1.72–0.84 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Draw against the xG: PEC Zwolle had 58% |
| Willem II 1–2 Ajax | 0.49–2.51 | 5% · 13% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.