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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen 4–1 Heracles | 1.93–0.38 | 75% · 19% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–1 NAC Breda | 1.40–0.44 | 61% · 27% · 12% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 61% |
| Twente 1–3 PSV Eindhoven | 0.93–2.15 | 15% · 20% · 65% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Waalwijk 0–4 Utrecht | 0.82–2.05 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Feyenoord 4–0 PEC Zwolle | 1.34–1.34 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Close call, Feyenoord won |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Willem II | 1.61–0.23 | 73% · 22% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Ajax 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 3.21–1.06 | 79% · 12% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Ajax had 79% |
| Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen | 1.66–0.48 | 67% · 23% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Almere City FC 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.93–0.22 | 79% · 17% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Almere City FC had 79% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.