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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 29.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda | 1.45–2.08 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Draw against the xG: NAC Breda had 52% |
| FC Volendam 1–2 Telstar | 1.09–1.40 | 29% · 27% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Telstar |
| Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax | 1.61–1.86 | 34% · 22% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Heracles 1–2 Groningen | 0.64–1.17 | 20% · 31% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 4.44–0.32 | 97% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Twente | 2.49–1.41 | 61% · 18% · 20% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior | 1.76–0.95 | 56% · 23% · 20% | Won against the xG: Excelsior |
| Utrecht 2–0 Fortuna Sittard | 2.09–0.48 | 75% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| PEC Zwolle 0–2 Feyenoord | 0.80–3.21 | 6% · 10% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.