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4 of 9 matches with xG: 11 goals from 11.1 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior 1–1 FC Volendam | 0.38–0.46 | 22% · 51% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen | 1.56–1.08 | 48% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Twente 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam | 3.92–0.86 | 89% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| NAC Breda 2–0 Heerenveen | 1.86–1.00 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Win in line with xG for NAC Breda |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.