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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 26.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda | 2.90–0.45 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Groningen 2–3 Excelsior | 0.87–2.38 | 12% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven | 0.95–1.80 | 20% · 23% · 57% | Draw against the xG: PSV Eindhoven had 57% |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar | 2.11–1.22 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Draw against the xG: NEC Nijmegen had 58% |
| FC Volendam 0–2 Heerenveen | 1.49–1.64 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Feyenoord | 0.77–2.50 | 9% · 15% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| PEC Zwolle 1–0 Heracles | 0.62–1.00 | 22% · 34% · 44% | Won against the xG: PEC Zwolle |
| AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Twente | 1.39–0.46 | 60% · 28% · 12% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 60% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.89–2.08 | 36% · 21% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.